The signal beneath
the earnings print.
The Tech Momentum Composite fuses five alternative data sources into a single Revenue Surprise Probability score that quantifies fundamental momentum across 80+ technology equities before the market reprices it.
- NVDA0.87
- CRWD0.79
- SNOW0.41
- DDOG0.73
Illustrative. Revenue Surprise Probability, 0.00 to 1.00, refreshed daily.
- 5
- Alternative data sources
- 80+
- Technology equities
- Daily
- Signal refresh
- ML
- Composite fusion
Markets price the past. Fundamentals move first.
The information that determines a revenue surprise is generated continuously, long before it reaches a 10-Q. The challenge is not access. It is fusion.
The composite anticipates the surprise weeks before it reaches the income statement. Illustrative.
Lagging fundamentals
Quarterly filings describe a business as it was 90 days ago. By the time revenue is reported, the move has already happened.
Hidden momentum
Hiring surges, shipping velocity, and product adoption shift weeks before they touch the income statement. Traditional data never sees them.
Fragmented signals
Each alternative source tells part of the story. In isolation they are noise; the edge lives in how they correlate.
The Tech Momentum Composite
A machine-learning composite that fuses five orthogonal alternative data sources into a single, decision-ready signal, purpose-built for technology equities.
Illustrative composite for a single equity, expressed on a 0.00 to 1.00 scale.
Single composite score
Five sources collapse into one Revenue Surprise Probability, a 0.00 to 1.00 read on the likelihood a name beats consensus revenue.
Directional & ranked
Names are ranked daily by signal strength, so the universe sorts itself into conviction tiers without manual screening.
Daily refresh
The composite recomputes every trading day as new source data lands, so momentum is tracked continuously, not quarterly.
Transparent attribution
Every score decomposes into its source contributions, so you can see which signals are driving conviction.
Five sources. One synthesized signal.
Five real-world signals. No surveys, no black box. Each source is normalized, de-noised, and weighted by a supervised model trained against realized revenue surprises, producing a single calibrated probability.
GitHub Activity
Commit cadence, contributor growth, and release velocity across public engineering. A real-time read on product execution.
Job Postings
Net hiring intent by function and geography. Sales and infra expansion lead revenue; freezes lead misses.
App Store Metrics
Rankings, ratings velocity, and release frequency. A proxy for consumer demand and product adoption.
Patent Filings
Filing volume and citation gravity, quantifying durable R&D momentum ahead of commercialization.
Social Velocity
Acceleration in mention volume and sentiment across professional and developer communities.
Each source is normalized and weighted, then fused into one calibrated Revenue Surprise Probability.
80+ technology equities, by segment.
A curated universe spanning the technology complex, from semiconductors to fintech, each scored on the same composite framework.
Semiconductors
5+- NVDA
- AMD
- AVGO
- MU
- ARM
- + more
Cloud & Infra
5+- SNOW
- DDOG
- NET
- MDB
- CFLT
- + more
Security
5+- CRWD
- PANW
- ZS
- S
- OKTA
- + more
Platforms
5+- META
- GOOGL
- AMZN
- MSFT
- AAPL
- + more
SaaS
5+- CRM
- NOW
- TEAM
- HUBS
- ZM
- + more
Fintech
5+- SQ
- PYPL
- COIN
- AFRM
- SHOP
- + more
An edge you can underwrite.
Alternative data is only valuable if it is clean, orthogonal, and decision-ready. The Tech Momentum Composite is engineered for all three.
We sell one signal. We do not run a fund, and we do not trade against you.
Research-grade rigor
Every signal is point-in-time, survivorship-adjusted, and backtested against realized surprises, built to withstand institutional diligence.
Orthogonal by design
Five sources chosen for low mutual correlation. The composite captures signal that any single dataset misses.
Compliance-first sourcing
Exclusively public and licensed data. No MNPI, no scraped PII, just clean provenance you can defend.
Built for allocators
Delivered as a decision-ready score with full attribution, not a raw firehose you have to engineer around.
A look at the daily signal.
Each name carries its composite Revenue Surprise Probability, its daily change, and the underlying source percentiles that drive it.
| Ticker | RSP | 1D Δ | GH | JOBS | APP | PAT | SOC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 0.87 | +0.06 | 92 | 88 | 71 | 80 | 84 |
| CRWD | 0.79 | +0.03 | 81 | 90 | 64 | 58 | 77 |
| DDOG | 0.73 | +0.04 | 78 | 74 | 55 | 49 | 70 |
| PANW | 0.66 | -0.02 | 62 | 71 | 60 | 67 | 59 |
| SNOW | 0.41 | -0.05 | 47 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 36 |
Illustrative sample. Source columns shown as 0 to 100 percentiles.
Request full reportQuestions, answered.
A calibrated 0.00 to 1.00 score estimating the likelihood that an equity beats consensus revenue in its next report. It is the single output of the Tech Momentum Composite, derived from five fused alternative data sources.
See the signal before
the market does.
The Tech Momentum Composite is available to qualified institutional allocators. Request access to receive a sample report and onboarding details.
For institutional use only · Not investment advice